2020 Vindicated Predictive Modeling

2020 Vindicated Predictive Modeling

This article was co-written by Alan Zhang and Sophia Weng. The day after the 2016 presidential election, the editors of Sabato’s Crystal Ball declared, “The Crystal Ball is shattered.” The nation watched in disbelief as Donald Trump was elected president in an upset that political commentators had assured their audiences was highly unlikely to occur. … Read more

Why Whitmer?

Why Whitmer?

As President Trump beamed at the audience, rally attendees chanted, “Lock her up! Lock her up! Lock her up!” Trump leaned toward the microphone and added, “Lock ‘em all up.” No, this rally did not take place in 2016, and they were not referring to Hillary Clinton. This rally took place on Oct. 17, 2020, … Read more

Splitting the Vote: How Nebraska’s 2nd District could Swing the 2020 Election

Splitting the Vote: How Nebraska’s 2nd District could Swing the 2020 Election

As election day approaches, a potential blue wave is on the horizon. Polls show Democratic candidate Joe Biden’s lead holding steady, and even states once safely in Trump’s camp could be in play. Among the states swelling to support the former vice president, a curious player throws their hat in the ring: Nebraska’s 2nd electoral … Read more

This Election, California’s Proposition 22 Puts the Future of Labor on the Ballot

This Election, California’s Proposition 22 Puts the Future of Labor on the Ballot

As Californians return their mail-in ballots, some of Silicon Valley’s largest tech companies have bombarded voters’ social media accounts, text messages and TV stations with a simple message: vote “yes” on Proposition 22. The ballot initiative, written by a consortium of app-based companies, has ignited a nationwide debate on the future of work. If passed, … Read more